Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Match Player Stats

If you’ve been tracking the Golden State Warriors and Dallas Mavericks this season, you already know these matchups have delivered some of the wildest swings of the 2026 campaign. On January 22, the Mavericks walked into San Francisco and left with a 123-115 win behind Naji Marshall’s season-high 30 points—and just two months later, the Warriors answered back in a 137-131 overtime thriller. Both games were closer than the final scores suggest. Here’s what the numbers actually show.

Final Score: Mavericks 123-115 Warriors ·
Top Scorer: Naji Marshall 30 points ·
Game Date: Jan 22, 2026 ·
Mavs Win % vs GSW: 52.6% ·
GSW Win % vs DAL: 47.4%

Who is favored to win Warriors vs. Mavericks?

The betting odds and expert picks have shifted significantly across these two 2026 matchups. When the Mavericks visited on January 22, they entered as slight favorites despite sitting with a struggling record. Naji Marshall’s 30-point performance validated that confidence, though the Warriors kept it competitive throughout.

Betting odds and picks

The all-time series history gives the Mavericks a slight edge in outright wins (96 versus 87 across 183 regular-season games), but recent form matters more in betting markets. The Warriors’ overtime victory on March 23 demonstrated they can overcome poor starts, while the Mavericks’ 50% field-goal shooting on January 22 proved they can dominate from the opening tip.

The shooting percentages reveal how each team reached their final scores—Dallas efficiency versus Golden State’s volume approach.

The implication: when Dallas shoots near 60%, they can compete with anyone, but the Warriors’ comeback ability means they cannot be counted out even when trailing by double digits.

Expert analysis

NBA analysts have noted that Cooper Flagg’s turnovers in the March 23 game—a season-high 7, with three occurring during an 11-0 Warriors run—represent the kind of costly mistakes that separate close losses from wins. For bettors, this means tracking Flagg’s turnover numbers alongside standard efficiency metrics when evaluating Mavericks game lines.

Warriors vs Mavericks Prediction, Picks & Best Bets for Tonight’s NBA

Player prop bets have become increasingly popular for these matchups, with sportsbooks offering deep markets on individual performances. Naji Marshall’s January 22 explosion (30 points, 9 assists) opened eyes across the league, and his prop lines have adjusted accordingly for future games.

Player prop bets

The Warriors’ three-point shooting presents an interesting betting angle. They connected at just 36% from beyond the arc in the March 23 overtime win—a below-average rate that still proved sufficient because of their dominance on the boards (63 rebounds versus 37 for Dallas). Against a Mavericks team allowing 59% shooting on any given night, there’s value in OVER props on both field goals and rebounds when Golden State matches up.

Game total predictions

Both games this season crossed the 230-point threshold, suggesting OVER totals are viable when these teams meet. The Warriors’ pace and the Mavericks’ defensive inconsistencies create the conditions for high-scoring affairs, though the March 23 overtime session inflated that total beyond what regulation play alone would produce.

Are the Warriors waiving Seth Curry?

Roster moves surrounding Seth Curry have drawn attention as the Warriors navigate their 34-38 record. Whether Curry remains with the organization or gets waived affects the team’s guard rotation and, by extension, their matchup dynamics against teams like Dallas that rely on perimeter shooting.

Roster move details

Curry’s minutes and production fluctuate based on matchup specifics. Against Dallas, his ability to space the floor becomes particularly relevant given how the Mavericks have defended three-point shooters this season. Any roster change would alter the Warriors’ bench depth heading into future head-to-head games.

The pattern: Golden State’s system-driven offense provides enough scoring margin that single-player losses don’t devastate the lineup, though chemistry adjustments become necessary.

Impact on matchup

If Curry were waived, the Warriors would need another guard to absorb his minutes. Against the Mavericks’ aggressive perimeter defense, that replacement would face immediate pressure. The Warriors have shown they can win without relying on a single bench contributor, but the margin for error narrows with each roster .

Who scored 73 points in a game?

The question of who scored 73 points in a game connects to the broader history of explosive performances in NBA matchups. While neither the Warriors nor Mavericks saw a 73-point individual performance in their 2026 games, the context matters for understanding what constitutes a historic night in this rivalry.

Luka’s historic performance

Luka Dončić’s 73-point game remains the most recent milestone in this conversation. That performance established a benchmark for what elite scorers can achieve in the modern NBA, setting expectations that subsequent games—including Warriors-Mavericks matchups—are measured against.

What this means: even without historic individual nights, both teams showed they can win through balanced scoring and defensive execution rather than relying on a single star carrying the load.

Context in series

The series history shows occasional individual explosions alongside team victories. The Mavericks’ 123-115 win on January 22 featured balanced scoring rather than a singular dominant effort, while the Warriors’ 137-131 overtime victory relied on Moses Moody’s 23 points and contributions from multiple players. Neither game approached the 73-point threshold, but both showed the kind of collaborative depth that wins championships.

Where to watch Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks?

Finding the right broadcast option ensures you catch every possession, especially in games that go to overtime like the March 23 thriller. Both national and regional sports networks carry these matchups, with streaming services offering additional flexibility.

Live stream options

ESPN and TNT carry the national broadcasts for marquee Warriors-Mavericks games, while regional sports networks handle local coverage in both markets. Streaming platforms including YouTube TV, Hulu Live, and fuboTV include these channels in their packages, allowing cord-cutters to watch without cable.

Choosing a viewing platform depends on whether you need national coverage or local market access.

TV broadcast schedule

Check the official NBA schedule for confirmed broadcast times, as matchups against Western Conference opponents like Dallas receive priority slots on national television. The March 23 overtime game aired on ESPN, demonstrating how competitive Warriors-Mavericks games attract premium broadcast treatment.

Key Player Performances in March 23 Overtime Thriller

The March 23 overtime game provided a complete statistical portrait of both teams at their best and worst. The Warriors dominated the glass (63 rebounds versus 37) while the Mavericks shot an exceptional 59% from the field, creating a fascinating contrast between two paths to competitiveness.

Individual contributions tell the story of who dominated and who struggled in the extra period.

The implication: Cooper Flagg’s 32 points showed he can carry the Mavericks’ offense, but his 7 turnovers—including three during a critical 11-0 Warriors run—cost Dallas the win. The Warriors’ 16 steals in that game represent their best perimeter defensive effort against Dallas this season.

What the experts are saying

Cooper Flagg showed he can score at an elite level, but the turnovers are something he’ll need to clean up if the Mavericks want to compete in close games down the stretch.

— NBA analyst commentary via CBS Sports (CBS Sports game analysis)

The Warriors’ ability to erase that 15-point deficit shows the kind of character this team has. They don’t panic when things go wrong early.

— Game analysis from Warriors at Mavericks full game highlights (YouTube game highlights)

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